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Frequently Asked Questions

Is this service for beginners? No. One should be comfortable trading the markets already and understand the risks of trading.

Are these simulated results? Yes, these are simulated results. Read the disclaimer for more details. Short backtesting cannot take into account if shares were available to short.

Why did you start testing in 2008? We wanted 10+ years of testing along with multiple market conditions. However, in 2008, only TLT & JNK were trading. In 2009, CWB started trading, and in 2010 VCLT started trading.

What do you use for commission and slippage? We used $.01/share for commission and slippage.

What is the position size for each signal? Position size is 100%.

Do these portfolios use stops or profit targets? There is no stop loss or profit targets

How do I pick which portfolio to trade? The difference between the two portfolios is that Vespucci has a market timing component while Magellan does not.

How do I receive the trades? Trades will posted on the night before the trading day by 8:15pm Pacific Time on the top of the Main page of the site and on the Posts page.

When are trades opened? Trades are entered at the open. Signals appear at the end of the week to enter on the open on the next trading day, which is typically a Monday unless there is a market holiday.

How long is each position held? The average hold for all portfolios is 4 trading days.

When do we exit the trades? Exit signals were backtested at the open after the signal day.

How do I read the signal table? Read this page for an explanation of the signal tables.

Am I guaranteed to make money trading these signals? There is no guarantee the trades will make money. These trades have shown a consistent edge for years. We trade them ourselves. There is a risk of significant losses not seen in the testing.

Does Cesar trade these signals? The strategy is part of his trading rotation. Each quarter he evaluates the about 10 strategies that are in his rotation and picks the best ones to trade for the following quarter.

How much money should I allocate to this strategy? We cannot give personal trading advice. Cesar allocates about 20% of his trading account into this strategy when he does trade it. Even though he has confidence in this strategy, one never knows when it will stop working. 

How do I get support? Please email us if you have any questions, we will get back to you within 24 hours (sooner in most cases). You can reply to any of our weekly emails or go to the Contact page.

How do I cancel my subscription? On the ‘My Account’ page, you can cancel your subscription. Or write us an email, and we’ll cancel you immediately. We don’t want anyone paying for something that they are not benefiting from.

How do I subscribe? This strategy is only available to members of The Crew.